Fragmented Future of Global Alliances

Fr. Gaurav Nair Fr. Gaurav Nair
17 Mar 2025

The Trump-Zelenskyy meeting has raised ripples across the world. International diplomacy is going out the window, and we are moving towards a much more fragmented world than one could have imagined a few decades ago. The world was once thought to be moving towards globalisation, where national and international boundaries would increasingly blur if not outright vanish. However, the general trends speak otherwise.

The sudden blowup in the Oval Office was the most heated public exchange of words between world leaders in memory. The usual staid diplomacy descended into finger-pointing, shouting, and eye-rolling. The encounter has left the future of the US-Ukraine relationship and Kyiv's ability to defend itself in the brutal conflict with Russia in mortal jeopardy.

The US had been the strongest backer and ally of the war-torn country. But now, as the US flirts with Moscow, while keeping Ukraine and the rest of Europe out of the discussion table, it has become clear that it is trying to make sneaky deals. This is quite evident since the minerals deal, which was supposed to be the focus of the meeting with Zelenskyy, was forgotten as Trump and Vance accused him of a third World War.

Ukraine claims it has deposits of 22 of the 34 minerals identified by the European Union (EU) as critical, including industrial and construction materials, ferroalloy, and precious and non-ferrous metals. Many metals are important for the type of technologies used in aerospace and defence, as well as strategic commodities for decarbonisation, electric vehicles, energy security, and digital transformation. The arrangement would give the US a 50 per cent stake in Ukraine's vast, state-owned mineral wealth and oil and gas reserves.

The minerals deal with Ukraine would purportedly be very beneficial to the US, seeing as it has already isolated China, its hitherto major supplier. China completely concentrates the refining stage of most of the materials used for developing new technologies, and effectively, this dependency is a security threat that can potentially be used as a levy against other nations.

India has maintained a neutral stance on the Ukraine issue. The high-profile confrontation between US and Ukrainian leadership has revealed that nations increasingly prioritise self-interest, with bilateral transactions reaching an all-time high. Countries must now fend for themselves. Europe and Ukraine were the early casualties of this shift.

It is even less probable that India will overtly back either side as it is besieged on all sides. We do not currently have the capacity to stand alone without any support. New Delhi has consistently navigated a narrow path and intends to continue refraining from aligning with any particular camp. Instead, it will superficially reiterate its commitment to the principle that dialogue and diplomacy are the sole avenues to resolve disputes without saying anything of substance.

Recent Posts

The 2026 West Bengal elections exposed how democratic institutions can be weakened without a formal suspension of democracy. Through voter deletions, administrative filtering, heavy enforcement deploy
apicture Oliver D'Souza
11 May 2026
The proposed School Management Committees mark an unprecedented Union encroachment into school governance, threatening state powers and minority rights. The guidelines lack constitutional backing, und
apicture Joseph Maliakan
11 May 2026
I first heard your name when my friend, an IAS officer, now retired, served under you in the Petroleum Ministry. Recently, I had occasion to write an editorial on the reforms that you introduced in th
apicture A. J. Philip
11 May 2026
The Assembly election results underline a stark warning for India's opposition: disunity is strengthening the BJP's expanding dominance and weakening democratic pluralism. Critics argue that fragmente
apicture Jacob Peenikaparambil
11 May 2026
The 2026 Assembly elections showed that Christian voters remain influential in areas where communities are concentrated and institutionally organised, especially in Kerala and Tamil Nadu. Vijay's rise
apicture John Dayal
11 May 2026
When flames tore through the fragile shanties along the Narkeldanga canal one humid evening in February 2025, families lost everything in minutes. Bamboo poles, tin sheets, plastic and tarpaulin roofs
apicture CM Paul
11 May 2026
To split human beings into Brahmin, Kshatriya, Vaishya, Shudra, Untouchable: To place some at the summit of heaven And bury untouchables below the floor of hell Is not just a mistake of history;
apicture Dr Suryaraju Mattimalla
11 May 2026
Francis Fukuyama, quoting Hobbes, says, people usually fight over necessities, but often enough they contend over trifles. That is to say, many quarrels arise over non-issues. They are expressions
apicture Thomas Menamparampil
11 May 2026
Many of us grew up hearing a sentence repeated by parents, teachers, coaches and even old uncles sitting with cups of tea after a cricket match. "Learn to lose gracefully." We were told that being a g
apicture Robert Clements
11 May 2026
The defection of seven AAP Rajya Sabha MPs simultaneously crossed the anti-defection law's two-thirds merger threshold, exposing how constitutional safeguards themselves can be used to legitimise mass
apicture Jacob Peenikaparambil
04 May 2026